Now that media excitement is beginning to die down
concerning the recent horrific events in Boston, it is time for more reflective
analyses to take pride of place. It used to be that we could rely on the
mainstream print media for at least some of this reflection. That cannot be
ruled out, but it is no longer likely. Case in point: Now, more than 10 days
after the finish-line bombings, I have yet to encounter a single media story or
commentary that identifies the proper analog to what occurred in Boston.
In three weeks during the month of October 2002, 10 people
were killed and several others seriously injured by what became known as the
beltway sniper attacks. John Allen Muhammed and Lee Boyd Malvo were responsible
for this killing spree, which veritably paralyzed the Washington, DC area. The
parallels between the sniper attacks of October 2002 and the bombings in Boston
earlier this month are quite striking.
·
The killings were perpetrated by two relatively
young males, the elder one clearly in command and the younger one compliant and
mainly clueless.
·
Radical Islam had some hard-to-define,
attenuated impact on the motives behind both sets of crimes, but
psychopathology of one kind or another clearly had the upper hand in both cases.
(I witnessed John Allen Muhammed trying to defend himself in a Montgomery
County, Maryland courtroom, as he cross-examined Lee Boyd Malvo; I just
happened to be in the building as part of jury duty on a completely different
case, and just let myself into the room to watch. And I can tell you that
Muhammed was very not normal, albeit in a contained and hence very spooky
manner.)
·
Just two untrained individuals, with no military
background or ties or connections of any logistical kind to any group or
movement, managed to paralyze an entire major urban area of the United States.
·
Law enforcement eventually shut down the
operation, and the justice system prepared to punish the evildoers, in its own
peculiar and slothful way. (John Allen Muhammed was found guilty of murder in
September 2003 and was sentenced to death; but the death penalty was not
inflicted until more than six years later.)
Obviously, there are also some
differences between the two cases. The Boston case was more concentrated in
time, and if one counts the murder of Sean Collier, there were only two
iterations of murderous behavior. In the DC sniper case, the trail of murder
actually started elsewhere and involved more than a dozen separate incidents
over a longer period.
Nevertheless, what unites the two
incidents is that they involved attacks on soft targets. There was no
reasonable way to protect those slain by the beltway snipers, just as there was
no reasonable way to prevent what happened at the Boston Marathon. The FBI
could not have prevented either tragedy, in the latter case because the law in
all but extraordinary cases prevents close surveillance of a potential
terrorist who has not broken any law.
Yes, the FBI had a file on the
elder Tsarnaev, thanks to a Russian inquiry, but since 9/11 we have failed to
face the fact that the FBI, which is and has always been part and parcel of the
Justice Department, is never going to be much good at domestic counterterrorism.
These guys do the best they can, but the culture of law enforcement—putting
guilty people in jail after maximally non-appealable legal proceedings—runs at
very different angles from the culture of preventing terror attacks, the sort
of thing MI5 does in the United Kingdom. Almost no terrorists have police
records before they commit murderous acts, which is why our current legal
set-up is helpless to prevent atrocities like the one in Boston.
And that fact highlights, just by
the way, the predictable inanity of the ACLU chastising authorities for not
reading the younger Tsarnaev his Miranda rights. Under the disheveled circumstances,
it was clearly the right thing to do.
Let’s quickly get past a few other
silly reactions to the Boston tragedy. Restricting immigration or disrupting
negotiations on immigration law reform are irrelevant. Gun control laws are
also irrelevant. Just about every foreign policy consideration I can think of
is irrelevant. How marginal populations in the United States become radicalized,
whether it be religious radicalism or some other sort, is not completely
irrelevant but it might as well be for practical purposes, given that the
potential ways and means here are so utterly capacious. TSA is certainly
irrelevant, and so for most part are the other mostly counterproductive forms
of bureaucratized paranoia with which we have saddled ourselves over the past
decade.
This doesn’t mean that radical
Islamic organizations, not least what’s left of al-Qaeda, can be safely
ignored. It doesn’t mean that having made our border control agencies more
integrated and functional was a bad idea (though we still have a ways to go on
that score). It doesn’t mean that sane immigration policy reform or better gun
control laws are bad ideas. But none of this has anything to do with what
happened in Boston.
After the beltway sniper affair, I
was concerned that other semi-rational but not entirely dysfunctional lone-wolf
terrorists might go in for copycatting. As all security experts understand, but
are usually reluctant to talk about in public, it is all too easy to bomb or
shoot up the ticketing and baggage retrieval areas of airports. Same goes for
“big box” shopping venues, movie theaters, sports events of all kinds, houses
of worship, schools, and one could go on. Back in the autumn of 2002, copycatting
did not happen. I’d like to be confident, based on that non-experience, that it
won’t happen again. But we don’t know that.
So what does this realization
about soft-target domestic terrorism tell us?
It tells us that we cannot defend against such attacks except at disproportionate
cost and by dint of entirely counterproductive methods. (Try to imagine, if you
dare, TSA-type geniuses deployed at every Walmart and cineplex in the
country……) It reminds us of what the strategy of terrorism has always been and
still is: The use of deadly force against innocents in order to provoke
authorities to be untrue to and destructive of their own principles. It is a
strategy of the weak, and its success requires a sucker to conspire in his own
defeat.
So what to do? Well, the first
thing is to keep organized terror organizations, foreign or domestic, out of
the soft-target business. To the extent that we have return addresses for such
organizations via intelligence gathering and monitoring, we can do this.
Second, when such horrible acts
occur, we must be stoic. President Obama
had this exactly right the other night when he said that terrorism will fail
because Americans will refuse to be terrorized. Even if it’s not true, it was
still the proper thing to say.
But third, for Americans to be
stoic, and so to be not terrorized, the American media, and entertainment
“industry” generally, must stifle its addiction to the sensationalist, the
maudlin and the perverse. It was no
accident, I think, that the finish to the Boston Marathon attracted the
Tsarnaevs because they knew that their evil deed would be caught on film and
video, and almost instantaneously transmitted worldwide.
I confess that I don’t know how to
get a pandering, irresponsible media to stop pandering and to stop being
irresponsible. I do know that the incentive media exposure offers would-be
terrorists is perhaps the biggest long-term problem we have when it comes to
potential outbreaks of soft-target lone-wolf terrorism. The hawkers of razor
blades and bad beer need for the show to go on, and what was the tragedy of the
Boston Marathon from a media perspective if not an (obviously unscripted)
episode of reality TV?
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